Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.138588 0.148971 0.159859 0.172150 0.185663 0.200094 0.216706
2025-10-12 0.123068 0.139040 0.156884 0.178410 0.203817 0.233031 0.269423
2025-10-19 0.109533 0.128412 0.150533 0.178619 0.213686 0.256503 0.313489
2025-10-26 0.099568 0.120190 0.145290 0.178512 0.221971 0.277811 0.356533
2025-11-02 0.091036 0.112523 0.139500 0.176460 0.226750 0.294263 0.394385
2025-11-09 0.082806 0.104329 0.132040 0.171102 0.226030 0.302569 0.421168
2025-11-16 0.076613 0.098185 0.126596 0.167690 0.227246 0.313160 0.451934
2025-11-23 0.071438 0.092953 0.121867 0.164675 0.228449 0.323450 0.483019
2025-11-30 0.068440 0.090423 0.120575 0.166293 0.236368 0.344317 0.533331
2025-12-07 0.063801 0.085281 0.115210 0.161429 0.233865 0.348449 0.555874
2025-12-14 0.058944 0.079541 0.108609 0.154185 0.226945 0.344625 0.563771
2025-12-21 0.055908 0.076241 0.105348 0.151763 0.227416 0.352904 0.594311
2025-12-28 0.054743 0.075657 0.106144 0.155830 0.239031 0.381691 0.668303
2026-01-04 0.053228 0.074477 0.105978 0.158376 0.248381 0.407687 0.741551
2026-01-11 0.051045 0.072166 0.103925 0.157673 0.252036 0.423712 0.797127
2026-01-18 0.049119 0.070137 0.102177 0.157316 0.256215 0.441102 0.858542
2026-01-25 0.047020 0.067729 0.099679 0.155489 0.257519 0.452995 0.909669
2026-02-01 0.044493 0.064529 0.095738 0.150899 0.253288 0.453361 0.933954
2026-02-08 0.042488 0.062066 0.092865 0.147981 0.251952 0.459443 0.973054
2026-02-15 0.040690 0.059851 0.090284 0.145405 0.251032 0.466239 1.015099
2026-02-22 0.039776 0.059012 0.089931 0.146785 0.257922 0.490417 1.106718
2026-03-01 0.037889 0.056510 0.086664 0.142630 0.253397 0.488998 1.129080
2026-03-08 0.035739 0.053501 0.082414 0.136432 0.244286 0.476422 1.118319